Kobalt 500 @ Atlanta

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CUP YTD

12- 8 +3.68 Units (Match-Ups)
6- 2 +8.50 Units (Props)
2- 7 +3.50 Units (Outrights)

YTD: +15.68 Units

Good to see the circuit back east, looks like there are no weather concerns.
Alot of motor issues the past two weeks, hopefully those are resolved. Would like to see a great race today.

Props

2.00 units Jeff Gordon (-140) under 7.5 (@5dimes)
If not for the steep price would have played it for more. This maybe Gordon's day. Good consistent practices Saturday(6th & 8th), good consistent track for him(6.4 avg. finish in 7 races) and a very good start to this season(7th place avg. thru 3 races). This team looks focused and anything less than a Top 5 would surprise me.

1.00 unit Tony Stewart (-115) under 14.5 (@5dimes)
Smoke has surprised a bit with this being a new team but he added a lot of good people to this organization and it looks like they meshed together well. This has been a very good track for him in the past (avg. of 8th in 15 races) and with any luck can be in the Top 15 at day's end.

Match-Ups

1.00 unit Brian Vickers (-130) over Clint Bowyer (@5dimes)
Since joining Red Bull Racing, this is the type track Vickers has excelled at. Good shot at a Top 10. Bowyer has had a good start to what is basically a new RCR team but they're struggling a bit this weekend and that may be enough for Vickers here.

1.00 unit Juan Pablo Montoya (+115) over David Ragan (@5dimes)
This is were JPM had his first Top 5 finish (5th in 2007) and I think he has a chance at another today.

1.00 unit Jeff Gordon (-135) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
I think, at least for now, this is the best Hendrick team.

1.00 unit David Stremme (-130) over Bobby Labonte (@5dimes)
Going against the better, more experienced driver. But this Penske car is head and shoulders above the HOF entry of Labonte's this weekend. Just hope Stremme is around at the end to prove it.

1.00 unit Jamie McMurray (+100) over Kevin Harvick (@5dimes)
McMurray is one of the most snake-bit drivers around, if there is any trouble he usually finds it. But if he can stay clean he is Top 10. Not sure if I can say that about Harvick this week, car dosen't look strong in practice and this isn't a great track for him (1 Top 10 in 14 races, 10 finishes of 20th or worse).

1.00 unit Kurt Busch (+115) over Mark Martin (@5dimes)
Don't think Mark will blow up 3 weeks in a row but they are feeling a little pressure, they're close to falling out of the Top 35 in points. They should have a good run today but think Kurt has what it takes to be Top 5.

Outrights

0.50 unit Jeff Gordon (+805) @thegreek
Like his chances today

0.50 unit Kyle Busch (+525) @5dimes
Why not? He won for me last week.

0.25 unit Denny Hamlin (+1200) @thegreek
He's dangerous today. 3rd in Happy Hour, 3rd last time out in Atlanta

0.25 unit Kurt Busch (+1250) @thegreek
Very consistent in the past here and looks to be stronger this year

Good luck to everyone!
 

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actually did consider that one, Stewart looks good at that price
 

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Nice job again!!!!!!!!

It might be time to give up on Montoya.
 

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Had a good day, sweep the props again and nailed the race winner(3 of 4 so far this year):

2-0 +3.00 units (Props)
4-2 +2.15 units (Match-Ups)
1-3 +1.88 units (Outrights)

Sunday Total: +7.03 units

Couldn't have asked for a better start to the season:

8- 2 +11.50 units (Props)
16-10 + 5.83 units (Match-Ups)
3-10 + 5.38 units (Outights)

YTD Total: +22.71 units
 

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thanks, stomie.

not sure what the problem was today with JPM, the car had obvious issues and last week he was caught up in something that was not his fault. still think he will make some noise this year. the next race will be a challenge and i can't wait, i love bristol.
 

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